The NFL Playoffs start this weekend, and today Colin explained why 3 of the teams have no shot to win the Super Bowl and why one team is a virtual lock to make it. He based this statement on a formula that has proven to be an accurate predictor of playoff success.
The formula is about defense, and while the saying “defense wins championships” is cliché, history has shown that it’s not too far off. The two best barometers of a contending defense are points allowed and yards allowed. A team that ranks in the top 3 in either of these categories has won the Super Bowl ½ the time. Teams at the bottom seldom make it to the big game.
Of this year’s 12 playoff teams, the worst defenses in points allowed are the Falcons, Raiders and Packers. The bottom 3 defenses in terms of yards allowed are Miami, Oakland and Atlanta. The Falcons, Raiders and Dolphins are done. Green Bay ranks 11th in points allowed and 8th in yards allowed, and will likely have to play a road game. The numbers say they likely won’t make it despite their remarkably hot finish to the season.
Colin says the Patriots, who rank in the top 3 in both categories, are a virtual lock to make it to the Super Bowl. Brady and Belichick don’t hurt the cause.
“New England’s got the number 1 and 3 defenses, points and yards allowed, and they’re at home, and they have Brady, and they have Belichick. They’re getting to the Super Bowl. I don’t know if they’ll win it, but they’re getting to the Super Bowl.”
If you were an NFL owner that paid billions for an NFL franchise, why would you want to go cheap on the head coach? It doesn’t make any sense, but it’s the status quo in the the league. Colin was reading a list of potential NFL coaching candidates and was thoroughly unimpressed. It’s a list full of uninspiring, unknown assistant coaches that don’t seem capable of changing a losing culture into a winning culture.
With each NFL franchise receiving roughly $226 million in annual TV revenue alone, Colin doesn’t understand why owners wouldn’t take $15 million of it annually and pay a difference making head coach, like a Nick Saban or Urban Meyer, that can change the course of a franchise and increase its profitability by turning it into a winner. Fortune 500 companies pay big money for top CEO’s, why wouldn’t NFL teams?
“Don’t go cheap on toilet paper, transportation, quarterbacks and coaches.”
Colin thinks the media uproar over Odell Beckham and the other Giants wide receivers partying it up with Justin Bieber and Trey Songz is absurd. No one can be happy nowadays unless they’re outraged about something. This trip is the latest example of making something out of nothing.
Today, Colin pointed out that Michael Jordan partied till all hours of the morning, gambled and had affairs, but no one saw it. Out of sight, out of mind. MJ didn’t live in an era where everything was captured on an iPhone and posted on social media for the world to see, and judge. Just because it wasn’t on video doesn’t mean it didn’t happen. This Giants story has been happening for decades with professional athletes, the only difference is now everyone can see it. And judge it.
“We’re just seeing now, what’s been going on forever.”
Cris Carter – FS1 analyst and NFL Hall of Famer is in-studio weighs in on the Odell Beckham’s Miami trip controversy, why the pool of qualified NFL coaching candidates has dwindled, why he is confident Urban Meyer won’t ever go to the NFL, if the Giants have chance to upset the Packers, and why it’s important for older players to make an effort to learn about younger players’ culture.
Chris Spielman – Fox Sports NFL game analyst joins the show to explain why he doesn’t have a problem with the Giants wide receivers’ South Beach trip, why he thinks Clemson can beat Alabama, and if he thinks the Lions have a chance to beat the Seahawks.
Rob Parker – Longtime Detroit sportswriter and radio personality joins the show to explain why he thinks Brady and the Patriots always get a pass for their misdeeds, if Belichick should be considered the greatest NFL coach ever despite the controversies, why it’s a matter of time before someone eventually spills all the beans on the organization’s darkest secrets, and why he voted for Barry Bonds and Roger Clemens for the Hall of Fame, but won’t vote for Manny Ramirez.