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UConn vs. Michigan State Predictions - NCAA Tournament

A Sweet 16 battle features the No. 2 seed UConn Huskies (31-5) playing against the No. 3 seed Michigan State Spartans (27-7) on Friday at Capital One Arena. This NCAA Tournament contest tips at 9:45 p.m. ET, with the winner advancing to the East regional final.

The Huskies are currently slight 1.5-point favorites over the Spartans. The over/under for the matchup is set at 136.5.

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UConn vs. Michigan State Odds and Game Info

  • Game day: Friday, March 27, 2026
  • Game time: 9:45 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: CBS
  • Location: Washington D.C.
  • Arena: Capital One Arena
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Paramount+ (Regional restrictions may apply)

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UConn vs. Michigan State Odds and Prediction

  • Spread favorite: UConn (-1.5)
  • Moneyline: UConn (-132), Michigan State (+108)
  • Total: 136.5 points

Pick ATS:Michigan State (+1.5)

  • Pick OU: Over (136.5)
  • Prediction: Michigan State 73, UConn 72

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UConn vs. Michigan State Comparison

UConn Rank UConn Stat Michigan State Stat Michigan State Rank
135th 77.5 Points Scored 79.3 94th
11th 65.1 Points Allowed 68.4 42nd
9th 18.4 Assists 18.8 4th
119th 10.4 Turnovers 10.9 188th
35th 48.2% Field Goal % 47.4% 50th
19th 40.2% Field Goal % Allowed 41.1% 35th

UConn Key Players

  • Tarris Reed Jr. leads the Huskies in scoring and rebounding, accumulating 14.2 points and 8.9 boards per game.
  • Silas Demary Jr. is UConn's best passer, distributing 6.1 assists per game while scoring 10.6 PPG.
  • Braylon Mullins leads the Huskies in three-point shooting, making an average of 2.1 shots per game from beyond the arc.
  • Demary is UConn's leader in steals, averaging 1.7 steals per game, while Reed leads them in blocks with two per contest.

Michigan State Key Players

  • Jeremy Fears Jr.'s points (15.3 per game) and assists (9.4 per game) stat lines are the top scoring and assists spots on the Spartans' leaderboards.
  • Jaxon Kohler's stat line of nine rebounds, 12.6 points and 1.4 assists per game secures the top spot on the Michigan State rebounding leaderboard.
  • Kohler is reliable from distance and leads the Spartans with 1.7 made threes per game.
  • Fears (1.2 steals per game) is the steal leader for Michigan State while Carson Cooper (0.9 blocks per game) is the block leader.

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