Colin caught fire in Week 9 with a 4-1 Blazin’ 5 effort to move his record to a remarkable 28-16-1 on the year. This week he looks to keep his foot on the gas with more winners and cash. Stand back kids, he’s rolling.
Here are his Week 10 Blazin’ 5 plays:
- Saints at Bengals (+5) – Give Colin the Bengals getting a healthy 5 points off a bye against the Saints in a letdown game after their heavyweight fight against the Rams. It’s no secret that Colin doesn’t have any confidence in Andy Dalton in big games or on the road, but he’s 3-1 with 9 TD’s and only one INT at home this year, and Cincy is averaging 29.8 PPG with a +9 turnover differential in those games. The Bengals also have the #1 red zone offense in the league, scoring TD’s on 77% of their trips inside the 20, and will face a Saints D ranked 28th in opponent red zone scoring (71% TD’s allowed). Take Cincy, the points and the upset. 28-27, Cincinnati.
2. Patriots (-6.5) at Titans – Colin likes Brady and red-hot Patriots as 6.5 point favorites on the road in Nashville against the Titans off a short week. Colin usually doesn’t like swallowing points, but the Tennessee offense is averaging a sorry 16.8 PPG (29th – NFL), and Marcus Mariota’s head should be spinning against a New England D that just held Aaron Rodgers to 17.
In the last 6 weeks Belichick’s crew is 6-0, ranks 1st in PPG (35.5), and Point Differential (+88), and is tied for 2nd in takeaways (12). They’ve also scored 30 or more in 5 of their last 6. 6.5 is a big number, but New England is a buzzsaw right now and covers, 31-21.
3. Jags at Colts (-3.5) – Colin likes Andrew Luck and Indy as 3.5 point home favorites against and imploding Jacksonville team that’s lost 4 straight. Organizationally, the Colts are trending upward for the first time in 3 years. Andrew Luck hasn’t been sacked in three weeks – and only 10 times all season – behind a massively improved o-line, and and has the most TD passes in the league since Week 4 (18). Take the Colts to cover comfortably, 30-20.
4. Seahawks (+10) at Rams – Colin loves the Rams, but he can’t pass up Russell Wilson getting 10 points on the road here. L.A. has a lot going for them, but they’re homefield advantage is negligible, at best, and 3 of their last 4 wins have been by 3 points or fewer. This is a sandwich game for L.A., coming off a huge game against the Saints and looking ahead to another big showdown next week against the 8-1 Chiefs.
They’ll also have to deal with a scorching Russell Wilson who is completing 70% of his passes, with 11 TD’s, only 2 INT’s, 9.03 Yards/Attempt, and a Passer Rating of 126.4 in his last 6 games. Rams win, Hawks cover getting 10. 29-24, L.A.
5. Cowboys at Eagles (-6.5) – Colin likes the Eagles laying 6.5 at home against Jerry’s Kids in a game that has all the makings of a blowout. Philly is at home, off a bye, and Carson Wentz has started looking more like the MVP he was before his season ending injury last year. The Dak -led Dallas offense is only averaging 317.1 YPG (29th-NFL), and has scored 20 or fewer in 6 of their last games.
They’ll meet an Eagles D that’s only giving up 19.5 PPG (T-5th NFL), 83.8 Rush YPG (2nd), 33.0% 3rd Opponent 3rd Down Conversion % (3rd), and 41.3 Opponent Red Zone TD % (3rd). The Cowboys are also coming off a short week after getting hammered by the Titans on MNF, and will be without defensive captain Sean Lee. All signs point to a Philly win and comfortable cover, 28-17.