Every week during the regular season, Colin picks his Blazin’ 5 from a full slate of NFL games. He usually feels good about the games he picks, because he has his pick of the litter.
This weekend, there are only four playoff games, and Colin is going against his better judgment and picking all of them against the spread. He’s not as confident in his picks as he is for his Blazin’ 5, so he’s renaming his picks for this weekend the Blasé 4. Scared money don’t make money, and this weekend isn’t for the faint of heart.
Here are his Blasé 4 plays for Wild Card weekend:
- Giants (+4.5) at Packers – Out of all the games this weekend, Colin feels the best about picking this one. During each of their previous two Super Bowl runs, Eli and the Giants marched into Lambeau and came out with a win. 4.5 points is too many points to give New York. Since Week 6, they’re tied for the best scoring defense, have the best 3rd down defense, the 3rd most takeaways, and the 2nd most sacks in the league.
Aaron Rodgers and the Pack have won 6 in a row, but the Giants present significant matchup problems on defense, and the back half of the Green Bay defense could be exposed by Odell Beckham, Jr. and the sputtering Giant offense. Colin sees this as a 21-20 game, and could see either team winning, but the Giants cover the 4.5.
2. Lions (+8) at Seahawks – Colin thinks the Seahawks wins this one, but he likes Detroit getting 8 points in Seattle. This Seahawks squad is a shell of their formerly dominant Super Bowl teams, and although their defense is still legit, the loss of Earl Thomas is significant.
The Seahawk offense has been inconsistent all year, their o-line is a mess, and they can’t run the ball. 3 of the last 4 meetings between the two teams have been decided by 4 points or less, and Matt Stafford should be able to move the ball against the Seahawk D. Seattle wins, but they won’t cover the 8.
3. Dolphins at Steelers (-10) – Colin hates laying big points, but he still likes the Steelers laying 10 at home against Miami. Pittsburgh is riding a 7-game winning streak, which has been built on a weak second half schedule. The Dolphins start their backup quarterback Matt Moore, their defense is banged up, and Jay Ajayi has not been as effective on the road. In addition to personnel disadvantages, it should be around 20 degrees at kickoff. All signs point to a Miami loss and the Steelers covering the 10.
4. Raiders (+3.5) at Texans –There is no way Colin would touch this game if he had a choice, but he doesn’t. He likes Oakland getting 3.5. Raiders rookie Connor Cook makes his first NFL start in a playoff game, but the Raiders still have the better offensive line, a decent rushing attack, and quality wide receivers.
Current Texans backup, and $72 million free agent bust, Brock Osweiler gets the start for Tom Savage, who was placed in the concussion protocol. Osweiler is the only quarterback in the NFL to average fewer than 6 yards per pass on the year. Both quarterbacks should struggle to score points. Colin sees this as a low scoring, 17-16 type game. Under the circumstances, take the Raiders, and the 3.5.