It’s time for Colin’s Blazin’ 5 for NFL Week 16. Colin broke even last week for the second week in a row, posting a 2-2-1 record in Week 15. He’s still cruising into the holiday weekend at a respectable 41-31-3 on the year, and this week’s slate of games is so good it’s like an early present.
Uncle Colin has your holiday bonus covered, and it’s not a membership in the Jelly of the Month Club. Nobody’s walking out on this fun, old-fashioned family Christmas. This is a full-blown, four-alarm holiday Blazin’ 5.
Here are his plays for NFL Week 16.
- Bengals at Texans (-1) – The Texans are 4-2-1 against the spread at home this season, and getting a point at NRG Stadium this week. The Bengals are only 1-5-1 against the spread on the road this season, and face a Texans team with renewed life after Brock Osweiler was benched in favor of Tom Savage. In 3 quarters of play in Week 14 against Jacksonville, Savage completed nearly 64% of his passes for 260 yards, including 8 completions on 15 targets to DeAndre Hopkins. In Osweiler’s last 5 quarters, he only completed around 57% of his passes for 195 yards and 3 interceptions.
The Texans have only lost 1 game at home this season, and have won 6 of their last 7 against the Bengals. The Bengals could have problems moving the ball on a Houston defense that’s only allowing 5.18 yards per play this season – 4th best in the AFC. Andy Dalton has been held under 23 points in each road game this season. Take the Texans, give the point. 23-17, Houston.
2. Chargers at Browns (+6) – Upset Alert! The Browns are 0-14 on the year, and 0-7 against the spread at home, but Colin likes them getting 6 in Cleveland against San Diego, and getting their first win of the year. San Diego will be worn down on the back end of a brutal stretch of their schedule.
Since Week 12, the Chargers have played at Houston, home versus Tampa Bay, at Carolina, home versus Oakland, and now at Cleveland on short rest on Christmas Eve. On the flip-side, from Weeks 11 through 14, Cleveland had a Bye, 3 home games and a short trip to Buffalo last week.
Philip Rivers has been struggling. He has 11 picks in his last five games. Cancel the 0-16 parade, the Browns finally get in the win column. 27-24, Cleveland.
3. Colts (+3.5) at Raiders – Colin loves Andrew Luck and the Colts getting 3.5 in Oakland. The Colts have been hit and miss this year, but they’re 4-2-1 against the spread on the road this season, and have only allowed 2 sacks in their last 3 games. With better protection, Andrew Luck has thrown 10 touchdowns against only 3 interceptions over his last 4 games, with a passer rating of 105.6. Oakland is 9-5 ATS overall, but only 3-4 at home.
The Raiders offense has been prolific all year, but they’re averaging just 16 points with only one touchdown pass over their last 2 games. The Colts JV defense has been upgraded to varsity status recently. Since Week 13, they’re only allowing 282.6 yards per game. It’s a must win for the Colts, and the young Raiders have less urgency after clinching a playoff berth last week. Take Indy, the 3.5, and the upset. 28-27 Colts.
4. Broncos (+4) at Chiefs – Colin likes Denver is getting 4 points at Camarohead against the Chiefs in a division rivalry game. The Broncos are 4-3 ATS on the road this season, facing a Chiefs team that’s only 2-5 ATS at home. They’ve also won 5 straight in Kansas City. The Chiefs allowed 6 Sacks in their last meeting with Broncos, and in his last 5 games against Denver, Alex Smith has been sacked 20 times.
Take a desperate Denver team and their defense to cover the 4 in a low scoring rivalry slugfest. Kansas City wins, Broncos cover. 27-26, KC.
5. Ravens (+4.5) at Steelers – Colin is all over Baltimore heading into Heinz Field as a 4.5 point road dog. The Ravens have won 5 of their last 7 games and are averaging 29.3 points per game and 394.7 yards per game over their last 3. These franchises play close games. 7 of the last 8 meetings have been decided by 3 points, with the Ravens winning 4 of the last 5 three-point contests.
Colin likes Flacco, a better coach in John Harbaugh, and better defensive personnel to cover and pull the moneyline upset. 28-26, Baltimore.
Make sure you download, listen and subscribe to Colin’s Blazin’ 5 Prediction Podcast with RJ Bell, which will be released today, due to the Saturday games. He’ll sit down with RJ and see how this week’s Blazin’ 5 stacks up against the Vegas sharps.
— Herd w/Colin Cowherd (@TheHerd) December 23, 2016