It’s it’s time for a special edition NFL Playoff Divisional Round Blazin’ 4. There’s so only four games on the slate this weekend, and Colin is feeling much better about this weekend’s games than last week’s Wild Card round, including the hot trash of a game between the Texans and Raiders.
Now, it’s money time in the NFL Playoffs, and Colin is ready to make money for his dedicated listening audience.
Here are his Blazin’ 4 plays for NFL Playoff Divisional Round weekend:
- Seattle at Atlanta (-5) – Seattle is the team with the postseason pedigree, but Colin is taking the Falcons laying 5 at home against the Seahawks. Seattle is 2-3 on the road in the postseason under Pete Carroll, including a 2013 loss to the Falcons, which accounted for Matt Ryan’s lone career playoff win (1-4).
Atlanta has the top scoring offense in the league (33.8 PPG), and are tied with the Patriots for fewest giveaways this season (11). They’ll be happy if this one turns into a shootout, because they’re 5-0 against top-10 offenses this season. Russell Wilson has struggled on the road this season (8 TD’s and 8 Int’s). Take the Falcons and lay the 5.
2. Pittsburgh at Kansas City (-1.5) – Colin likes the Chiefs laying 1.5 at home against the Steelers. Andy Reid is a remarkable 19-2 coming off bye weeks, and Colin likes Kansas City’s overall roster better than Pittsburgh, especially their defensive personnel.
The Chiefs were 20th in the league in total offense and 13th in scoring offense, but led the NFL in turnover margin (+16), ranked 7th in scoring defense, and were 1st in takeaways. KC quarterback Alex Smith’s career playoff record is only 2-3, but he’s thrown for 11 touchdowns and only 1 interception and those games.
Colin will take the better coach and the better roster, at home. Kansas City wins and covers the 1.5.
3. Green Bay (+4.5) at Dallas– Colin has been burned more times than he can count by picking against the Cowboys this year, but he likes Green Bay getting 4.5 against the Boys in Big D. Aaron Rodgers is the hottest player in the NFL over the last two months, and while the Packers have been fighting for their playoff lives since November, Dallas hasn’t played a big game in a month. Colin thinks Green Bay will come in clicking, and could grab a lead. Even if Dallas has a late lead, Rodgers is more than capable of putting up some late scores for a back-door cover
The loss of Jordy Nelson due to an injury suffered in last week’s win over the Giants is significant. The Packers have scored 30 points in 5 straight games, but the Dallas D has only allowed 30 points once this season. Colin likes Dallas to win, but Green Bay to keep it close enough to cover the 4.5.
4. Houston (+16) at New England – Colin likes Houston getting a massive 15 points heading into Foxboro, where Tom Brady is 15-3 in his career in the postseason. The Texans franchise have never won a playoff game on the road (0-2) and have never won in Foxboro. Houston lost 27-0 in Week 3 in New England in Jacoby Brissett’s only start of the year.
But, the Houston defense is allowing an NFL best 301.3 yards per game, and ranks 2nd in pass defense (201.6 YPG). The last time Brady and the Pats faced such a stingy defense was against the Broncos top ranked pass defense in Week 15. They only scored 16 points, and Brady only threw for 188 yards and managed to score only 16 points. The Patriots will win this one, but the Texans D keeps it close enough to cover the 16.
Make sure you download, listen and subscribe to Colin’s Blazin’ 5 Prediction Podcast with RJ Bell every Saturday morning through the end of the football season. He’ll sit down with RJ and see how this week’s Blazin’ 5 stacks up against the Vegas sharps.